Micron CEO Says Memory Supply Will Be Much Tighter in 2027 and 2028 Than in 2026(techpowerup.com)
384 points by speckx 12 days ago | 437 comments
tl;dr: Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra says memory and storage supply will be significantly tighter in fiscal 2027 and 2028 than in 2026, with no clear line of sight to supply-demand balance even accounting for planned DRAM cleanroom expansions. Over 75% of Micron's 2027 output is already committed to customers, and its new Idaho ID2 fab won't produce wafers until late 2028. Last quarter, DRAM prices rose in the high teens percent and NAND jumped roughly 30%.
HN Discussion:
  • ↓High prices will invite new competition that undermines Micron's long-term market control
  • ↓CEO's claims are self-serving marketing to drive demand and should be distrusted
  • ↓Micron is engaging in deliberate market manipulation by abandoning consumer DRAM
  • ~Hope Chinese competitors like CXMT will enter and relieve the painful consumer pricing
  • ↑Tight supply will force welcome memory optimization and a return to leaner software