Who's afraid of Chinese models?(stratechery.com)
976 points by mfiguiere 2 days ago | 882 comments
tl;dr: Chinese open-weight models like Kimi K3 and Qwen3 aren't actually cheaper to serve than US frontier models—they only appear so because OpenAI and Anthropic are supply-constrained and charging premium prices; in a commodity intelligence market, frontier labs with the best cost structures should thrive on volume. The real concern isn't economic but strategic: US open-weight makers are hobbled by frontier labs' anti-distillation terms of service, leaving American defenders (like Hugging Face during a recent breach) reliant on Chinese models for cybersecurity. The author argues the US should legalize distillation and loosen restrictions to compete.
HN Discussion:
  • US frontier models' restrictions on security topics force reliance on Chinese open models
  • Chinese models pose propaganda/influence risks by embedding biased narratives
  • The real distinction is open vs closed models, not country of origin
  • The commodity framing oversimplifies how token markets actually work
  • Distillation should be legal since frontier labs themselves distilled the internet