AI's Affordability Crisis(blog.dshr.org)
299 points by ilreb 22 hours ago | 391 comments
tl;dr: AI platforms like OpenAI and Anthropic have been massively subsidizing usage—analysis shows $200/month subscribers can burn $8,000-$14,000 in tokens—while OpenAI lost $38.5B on $13B revenue in 2025, spending 44% on sales and marketing. As companies shift to token-based pricing, enterprise customers are experiencing 7x cost spikes, with some firms finding AI more expensive than human workers. Servicing the industry's projected $3T debt would require displacing roughly 27% of US jobs, making the path to profitability implausible even as OpenAI and Anthropic head toward IPOs.
HN Discussion:
  • User behavior shifted rapidly with token pricing, causing companies to clamp down on AI usage
  • ~Real issue isn't cost but lack of ROI; models get cheaper but bad ideas won't generate profit
  • Article's subsidy math is wrong because enterprise customers don't get the $200 plans
  • VC overinvestment creates Enron-like scheme that will implode after IPOs dump on retail investors
  • New tech is always expensive initially and gets cheaper; people are overreacting